scientists now 'virtually certain' (99.9999%) humans are responsible for climate change

scientists now 'virtually certain' (99.9999%) humans are responsible for climate change

according to a recent report by nature climate changethe steady rise in surface temperatures have grubby fingerprints all over them — and the odds of these fingerprints being anything but human have now officially reached a five-stigma statistic. in other words, there is a one-in-one-million chance that humans are not the cause of global warming.

climate change
2018 was the fourth warmest year on record, part of a decade long warming trend
animation courtesy of goddard media studios / scientific visualization studio



earlier this month, the scientific visualization studio at NASA shared the above timelapse of temperatures from 1887 – 2018. according to data, ‘2018 was the fourth warmest year on record, part of a decades-long warming trend.’ gavin schmidt, director at NASA’s goddard institute for space studies, says the average global surface temperature has risen about 2 degrees fahrenheit since the 1880s — a figure driven by, in large part, increased carbon dioxide emissions into the atmosphere and other greenhouse gases caused by human activities.

climate change
in december 2018, olafur eliasson brought ‘ice watch’ to london to inspire action against climate change
image © olafur eliasson | read more about the project on designboom here



reuters reports that ‘peter stott of the british met office, who was among the scientists drawing that conclusion and was not involved in monday’s study, said he would favor raising the probability one notch to ‘virtually certain’, or 99-100 percent.’ while the theory that humans caused climate change may now officially hold-true to a 99.9999 percent accuracy, the number of americans who trust this gold-standard is far lesser — 62% as of 2018. hopefully, with media like reuters, futurism and more feverishly citing scientists recent satellite finds, one would hope that the narrative on climate change continues to change.

climate change
artist hula warned of climate change with painted murals on melting icebergs
image courtesy of hula (also main image) | read more about the project on designboom here 

  • Change has been happening throughout the planet’s history, but never before has change to the earth’s sytems – the biosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, atmosphere and geosphere actually been triggered by a species i.e. man. The changes that we are bringing to the planet will have horrific consequences not just for these systems but for humanity itself – there will be displaced people in the many millions due to flooding, fire, desertification, water loss, poisoning of the ocean to name but a few consequences.

  • Climate change has been going on long before humans walked this earth, and so before any serious industrialization took off. Climate change is the normal behavior of earth and is part of nature in which everything is also constantly varying up or down. Things would be seriously wrong if nothing would ever vary anymore. Change is the norm.
    Science on universities has become highly politicized, and has turned into an ideology with a very religious character. Independent thought has fallen out of fashion, confirming to a group identity is all the rage. Nothing new: like nature, the history of man tells us civilisations rise and fall in a cyclic or wave pattern as well. I for one am longing for an new age of enlightenment though..

  • Amazing! Truth of the matter is, Earth’s natural mechanism was created to preserve life regardless of human actions or intervention. What a lot of people do not know is the astronomical event occurring in our solar system as we speak! The sun is expanding in size. The effect? The gravity around it is being stretched thus pulling the Earth closer to it and the weather adversely being affected.

    tung cab
  • The number of Americans who “trust” climate change is now much higher than 62%, though “trust” and “belief” are misnomers, as if coming to grips with global warming were an act of faith, when it is and has to be a rational process, a growing understanding. But the key figure is how many Americans are willing to make substantial changes in the way they live. So far that number is alarmingly small, probably in the single digits.

    Mort d'Urban
  • The only problem: the 1% with all the money (political influence) have no incentive to change the status quo.


    Jimmy Xi

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